Gold has dropped t below the 200-day moving average (DMA) of $1,837.60. In the view of strategists at TD Securities, more gold downside is on the cards and so are higher lease rates.
“With inflation still raging, the Fed may have no choice but to stick to a hawkish policy stance for a while yet. As such, it is likely that spec interest will lighten up on length, as real rates rise, which should drive gold lower.”
“At the current $1,837.60, prices are at risk of falling below support and may well end up in below $1,800/oz. While this is not accretive for capital value of portfolios weighted with gold, it may be a positive for those who wish to derive a yield from lending the metal.”
“Higher real rates and reduced spec length tend to be a positive catalyst for lease rates.”
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