GBP/USD is on the back foot, falling from a high of 1.3064 to a low of 1.3004, down some 0.37% at the time of writing. There were no UK data releases scheduled for Monday and markets have been closed for the Easter Monday Bank holidays.
Instead, the focus has been on the US dollar which has been firmer against its major trading partners ahead of a light data schedule. The week's data highlights include home construction on Tuesday, Existing Home Sales on Wednesday, and Weekly Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday. The Federal Reserve will release its Beige Book summary of economic conditions on Wednesday. Before then, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard speaks at 4:00 pm ET today on the economic and policy outlook.
Meanwhile, the minutes of the March 15-16 Federal Open Market Committee meeting released last week point to a more hawkish Fed. The greenback is supported by firm rates in the US in expectation of a 50 bps rate hike at next month's meeting, May 3-4 meeting. Therefore, the comments from Bullard today will be important before the observed quiet period begins on Saturday.
Similarly, traders will be on the lookout for commentary from the Bank of England's Governor Andrew Bailey who speaks twice on the economy this week. This will offer a strong platform to discuss his dovish views on the BoE's policy stance. ''Thursday's discussion at PIIE is likely to be the most important, but he'll address inflation on an IMF panel on Friday as well. External MPC member Mann speaks on decision-making under uncertainty earlier Thursday as well,'' analysts at TD Securities explained.
The price is reaching hourly support but a break here opens the risk of mitigation of the price imbalance between here and 1.2990/80.
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