USD/JPY is seeing a test of long-term price and ‘neckline’ resistance at 125.86/127.33. A break above here would mark a secular change of trend higher that could eventually see the market test 150 over the coming years, analysts at Credit Suisse report.
“A sustained break above the 125.86 high of 2015 and then ‘neckline’ resistance at 127.33 though would suggest we have seen the completion of a secular base to suggest we should see a significant further rise over the coming years.”
“Immediate resistance on a break would be seen at the 78.6% retracement of the 1998/2011 decline at 132.20, ahead of the 2002 high at 135.20.”
“Big picture, we would see scope for a rise into the 147.62/153.01 zone over the coming years should the base be confirmed. We would note though the ‘measured base objective’ would imply significantly higher levels than this.”
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