Curve flattening periods have usually led to the outperformance of precious metals. Economists at Citibank expect gold to surge above $2,100 over the coming months.
“The precious metals sector tends to outperform other commodity sectors during significant curve flattening episodes, based on rolling 6M annualized returns.”
“We believe there is a bit better than 50/50-probability that prices could post fresh nominal records in 2Q/3Q 2022 north of $2,100/t.”
“Elevated geopolitical risks, COVID-19 concerns in China, and robust inflation data should all continue to tilt the macro backdrop to one that favors investor inflows for gold, at least in the short-term.”
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