Economists at Rabobank maintain that the USD will remain supported in the near-term. Therefore, they forecast EUR/USD at 1.08 on a one-month view though see the pair edging higher towards 1.12 on a one-year view.
“The imbalances in the supply and demand of commodities caused by Russia’s pariah status could create stresses in some markets for years. This is likely to underpin safe-haven demands of USDs. The fact that this coincides with an aggressive pick-up in the pace of Fed tightening strengthens the near-term outlook for the USD.”
“In view of the risks to Europe stemming from energy supply, we would not rule out a dip in EUR/USD as far as 1.08 on a one-month view. That said, we expect EUR/USD to pivot around the 1.10 level in the coming months rising towards 1.12 on a one-year view.”
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