The confirmation of a full invasion of Ukraine sparked meaningful moves in FX. EUR/USD posted one of its largest one-day declines in several months as neared the 1.1100 level. Economists at MUFG believe that additional losses towards 1.10 are still feasible in the coming days.
“Usually, the euro tends to be a better performer amongst G10 currencies during times of financial market risk-off events given the large current account surplus. But we are not seeing that now.”
“The rebound in risk sentiment following the sanctions announcements has resulted in safe-haven currencies weakening back. But the clearest pattern is the fact that European, non-oil related currencies have underperformed. We expect this to continue with a breach of 1.1000 plausible.”
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