Thursday’s release of Australia’s January labour report can be expected to inject fresh life into the debate regarding the likelihood of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate hike during the course of 2022. Strong data could lift the aussie to the 0.72 level, according to economists at Rabobank.
“The market median for the Australian January unemployment rate stands at 4.2%. Any strength in the labour market report over and above market expectations is likely to increase the pressure on the RBA to widen the scope for a rate hike this year. Strong data are likely to put AUD/USD 0.72 back in view assuming no surge in safe-haven demand for the USD near-term.”
“Given the strength of commodity prices and a healthy economic outlook in Australia, we see scope for AUD/USD to edge moderately higher to the 0.74 region on a 12-month view.”
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