The Bank of Canada (BoC) and the Federal Reserve each delivered a hawkish hold in January and signalled a likely rate hike in March. Economists at HSBC believe divergent monetary policy should see EUR/USD and EUR/CAD lower over the near-term.
“We believe relative central bank stories or divergent monetary policy should play an important role in FX this year, and this will be a key support for the USD this year.”
“The CAD is likely to see some near-term gains against the EUR, as the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to remain dovish, in contrast to the hawkish holds in North America.”
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