Economists at ING highlight no signs of concern from Japan regarding JPY weakness. As such, they expect USD/JPY to race higher given that no action is set to take place until the pair reaches the 120 level.
“Clearly there is no panic in Tokyo over USD/JPY back near 116. And we suspect that it would take a fast move to 120 to trigger a little more concern.”
“We know that the JPY has the highest negative correlation with global equity markets. But were some stability to emerge in equities, and US 10-year yields to drive up to the 2.00/2.25% area as we suspect, USD/JPY could start to motor on the upside.”
“As for other currencies, expect the JPY to be interested in the big energy meetings this week, including OPEC+. Brent pushing towards $90/bl – and coal prices rising too – are negative for Japan’s terms of trade and the JPY.”
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