AUD/USD has broken its short-term uptrend from December to suggest the corrective recovery is over and broader downtrend is resuming. A break below the January YTD low at 0.7129 would clear the way for a fall to 0.6992/91 – the late 2020 and 2021 lows, economists at Credit Suisse report.
“Key now is the January YTD low at 0.7129, removal of which should reinforce our view to add momentum to the decline for a move back to 0.7089/82 and eventually a retest of medium-term support at .6992/91 – the late 2020 and 2021 lows.”
“Below 0.6992/91 should then open up an eventual move to the 50% retracement of the entire 2020/2021 uptrend at 0.6758, which remains our core medium-term objective.”
“Short-term resistance moves to 0.7170 with resistance at 0.7216/33 ideally now capping to keep the immediate risk lower. A break can clear the way for a move back to the high of last week and downtrend at 0.7277/84, but with fresh sellers expected here.”
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