USD/JPY is trying to correct the strong bearish drop that occurred overnight and the following illustrate the market structure in a top-down analysis and the potential price flow.
For the bulls, there is little prospect of an upside opportunity until the daily structure is broken once again. This falls in at around 115.40.
For the bears, a move towards 114.80/115.00 could be on the cards where a confluence of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a 50% mean reversion come into line. This area might be expected to act as resistance on initial tests and potentially lead to a downside continuation.
On the 4-hour chart, the price path could resemble something as illustrated above where the various structural levels of interest are eclipsed.
At this juncture, the price is above the hourly structure which could act as support on a retest and lead to a meanwhile bullish correction, again, towards the 115 figure. The 61.8% Fibo is located there also.
From a 15-min perspective, the price action could evolve in a phase of accumulation, similar to the above schematic.
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