Market news
15.12.2021, 07:01

Breaking: UK annualized CPI jumps to 5.1% in November vs. 4.7% expected

  • UK CPI rises by 5.1% YoY in November vs. +4.7% expected.
  • Monthly UK CPI arrives at +0.7% in November vs. +0.4% expected.
  • GBP/USD pops and drops on upbeat UK CPIs.

The UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate came in at 5.1% in November when compared to +4.2% registered in October while beating expectations of a +4.7% print, the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported on Wednesday. 

Meanwhile, the core inflation gauge (excluding volatile food and energy items) rose by 4.0% YoY last month versus +3.4% booked in October, outpacing the consensus forecast of +3.7%.

The monthly figures showed that the UK consumer prices arrived at +0.7% in November vs. +0.4% expectations and +1.1% prior.

Main points (via ONS):

The largest upward contributions to the November 2021 CPIH 12-month inflation rate came from transport (1.34 percentage points, principally from motor fuels and second-hand cars) and housing and household services (1.28 percentage points).

On a monthly basis, CPIH increased by 0.6% in November 2021, compared with a fall of 0.1% in November 2020.

The upward contributions to the change in the CPIH 12-month inflation rate between October and November 2021 were broad-based, with the largest coming from transport (particularly motor fuels), and clothing and footwear.

These were partially offset by a large downward contribution from restaurants and hotels.

FX implications:

In an initial reaction to the upbeat UK CPI numbers, the GBP/USD pair spiked to daily highs of 1.3264 before reversing quickly to 1.3249, where it now wavers. The spot is up 0.08% on the day. The focus now remains on the Fed decision.

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