The Indonesian rupiah could depreciate to the 14,700 area vs. the US dollar in the first quarter of 2022, according to strategists at the Quarterly Global Outlook from UOB Group’s Global Economics & Markets Research.
“Despite IDR’s resilience in 3Q, there are still reasons to be cautious about the IDR going forth. These include a slow vaccination drive casting uncertainty over the economic recovery and a narrowing yield advantage of Indonesia Government Bonds over USTs. A persistent and widening twin deficit also anchors a gradual uptrend in USD/IDR over the medium term.”
“As such, we reiterate our view of a higher USD/IDR but have moderated the trajectory in view of current market developments. The updated point forecasts at 14,600 in 4Q21, 14,700 in1Q22, 14,800 in both 2Q and 3Q22.”
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