According to the Quarterly Global Outlook from UOB Group’s Global Economics & Markets Research, EUR/USD is expected to drift lower to the 1.15 area early in 2022.
“Due to the longer term monetary policy divergence, we keep to our bearish view of EUR/USD and update the point forecast to 1.16 in 4Q21, 1.15 in 1Q22, 1.14 in both 2Q and 3Q22.”
“The latest forecasts are about 100-200 pips higher compared to our last review at the start of September. This is in acknowledgement of the stabilization in yield differentials observed in the month.”
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