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- EUR/USD: Positive eurozone economic surprises offer support for the euro – MUFG
EUR/USD: Positive eurozone economic surprises offer support for the euro – MUFG
FXStreet reports that economists at MUFG Bank note, the strength of the eurozone economic recovery surprises to the upside, which offers support to the common currency.
“The main driver for the recent turnaround in fortunes for the pair has been the USD leg. Fed communication over the past week has set the scene for renewed USD depreciation as faith is restored in global growth and loose monetary policy. The scale of drop in US yields in July coupled with a continued dovish stance as signalled by Powell certainly puts the dollar back on a fragile footing.”
“Evidence of stronger economic recovery should encourage the ECB to discuss starting to phase out emergency support measures in the autumn. However, the ECB’s new dovish policy guidance has signalled strongly that they will maintain looser policy for longer. The net result is that the ECB’s dovish policy stance will dampen support for a stronger EUR from evidence of stronger growth and inflation in the eurozone.”
“We expect EUR/USD to stabilize around the 1.2000-level heading into year-end.”
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