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- GBP/USD set to move lower over the medium-term – HSBC
GBP/USD set to move lower over the medium-term – HSBC
FXStreet reports that economists at HSBC continue to expect GBP/USD to move lower over the medium to long-term, amid weaker post-Brexit UK growth.
“The GBP may face some marginal downside following BoE Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent’s speech on 22 July, looking at mismatches in the economy. Mr. Broadbent appears to be distancing himself from the more hawkish camp within the BoE that has emerged in recent weeks.”
“Rates market pricing is already looking for rate hikes to begin in Q2 next year, as are our economists. However, the GBP appears to have moved even further in anticipating UK outperformance. This pushback against any near-term tightening, although modest, may still cause some froth to come out of the GBP.”
“We continue to see GBP/USD moving lower over the medium-term. Brexit costs could also add to the weakening in potential growth and the broader fall in the GBP’s long-term fair value.”
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