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- Three possible causes of a slowdown in US growth in 2022 – Natixis
Three possible causes of a slowdown in US growth in 2022 – Natixis
FXStreet reports that economists at Natixis said that US growth has already slowed down in 2021, but there is reason to fear a sharp slowdown in the US economy in 2022.
“The stimulus package only covers 2021, and we see that the investment plan (initially $2,300 billion) will ultimately have to be much smaller to be accepted. The fiscal deficit is therefore likely to be significantly smaller in 2022 than in 2021, which of course would slow down growth. The Fed will probably reduce its debt purchases in 2022 and stabilise the size of its balance sheet. This is unlikely to have much effect on the US long-term interest rate, but could push down asset prices, generating a negative wealth effect. If it is confirmed that a significant number of Americans will not return to the labour market, the participation rate will fall, as after the subprime crisis, which will obviously slow down growth.”
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