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12.05.2021, 10:56

USD/CAD: Weekly close below 1.2062/48 to introduce scope for 1.1424/1318 - Credit Suisse

FXStreet notes that USD/CAD is consolidating just above regime defining long-term support at 1.2062/48 as the fall in equities weighs on high beta FX. Nevertheless, economists at Credit Suisse do not expect a major correction in equities and once risk sentiment stabilizes, a weekly close below here would complete a long-term ‘double top’. Next supports are at 1.1916, with scope for an eventual move to 1.1424/1318. 

“USD/CAD remains in a strong medium-term downtrend, which was recently reinforced by its break below major support at a corrective price low from 2018 at 1.2256/51.”

“With a major medium-term top also in place and medium-term momentum reaccelerating, we look for an eventual break below 1.2062/48, with a weekly close below here completing a multi-year ‘double top’ to dramatically reinforce our medium-term bearish outlook, with the next supports then seen at 1.1916, with little below here until 1.1424/1.1318, which is the uptrend from 2011 and 61.8% retracement of the same move.” 

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