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- The commodities outlook is strong, but not quite super – ANZ
The commodities outlook is strong, but not quite super – ANZ
FXStreet reports that strategists at ANZ Bank believe the market is not entering another commodity ‘super-cycle’.
“The outlook for commodities remains strong. Policy responses from governments worldwide should see global growth push demand for most commodities above long-term levels. At the same time, we see increasing supply-side issues limiting production growth. Combined with relatively low inventories, prices should be well supported in the short-term.”
“A long-term cyclical uptrend looks unlikely at this stage. There have been three major booms in commodity markets since WWII: 1950-55, 1972-80 and 2005-09. The current cycle has all the hallmarks of these previous cycles, in particular, synchronised growth in GDP and industrial production. However, it has some unique features, including climate change policies, which are threatening to push demand in certain commodities even higher.”
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