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19.02.2021, 12:57

Euro zone: GDP expected to expand 5.2% in 2021 - UOB

FXStreet reports that UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann reviews the latest revision of the Q4 GDP figures in Euroland.

“The Eurozone’s GDP fell by 0.6% q/q in 4Q20, less than the 0.7% q/q contraction of the first estimate. This contraction follows a strong rebound of 12.4% q/q in 3Q20, when COVID19 pandemic restrictions were eased. In the second quarter of the year, the Eurozone economy had suffered a historic contraction of 11.7% q/q. Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP, however, decreased by 5.0% y/y. This compares with a 5.1% y/y drop expected. For 2020, the Eurozone economy shrank by 6.8%.”

“The European Commission, last week, cut its Euro Area economic outlook for this year to 3.8% from 4.2%, and said developments largely depend on the success of the region’s immunization efforts.”

“Indeed, the success and distribution of vaccines, and how the COVID-19 pandemic evolves will drive both upside and downside risks to our Eurozone growth outlook of 5.2% in 2021."

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