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- Inflation expectations unlikely to lift UK gilt yields much - Capital Economics
Inflation expectations unlikely to lift UK gilt yields much - Capital Economics
FXStreet reports that Paul Dales, Chief UK Economist at Capital Economics, forecasts that UK 10-year gilt yields will end 2022 at 0.50%.
“We suspect that diminishing expectations of negative interest rates in the UK will push up 10-year gilt yields from 0.28% now to around 0.50% by the end of the year. But our relatively subdued forecast for RPI inflation over the next two years suggests that the markets’ inflation expectations won’t push up 10-year gilt yields much further. Our forecast that 10-year yields will end 2022 at 0.50% is lower than the consensus forecast of 0.80%.”
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