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20.01.2021, 13:37

European session review: GBP appreciates amid improved risk appetite and lessened Brexit-related fears and negative rates expectations

TimeCountryEventPeriodPrevious valueForecastActual
07:00GermanyProducer Price Index (YoY)December-0.5%-0.3%0.2%
07:00GermanyProducer Price Index (MoM)December0.2%0.3%0.8%
07:00United KingdomRetail Price Index, m/mDecember-0.3%0.5%0.6%
07:00United KingdomProducer Price Index - Input (YoY) December-0.3%1%0.2%
07:00United KingdomProducer Price Index - Input (MoM)December0.4%0.7%0.8%
07:00United KingdomProducer Price Index - Output (YoY) December-0.6%-0.6%-0.4%
07:00United KingdomProducer Price Index - Output (MoM)December0.3%0.2%0.3%
07:00United KingdomRetail prices, Y/YDecember0.9%1.2%1.2%
07:00United KingdomHICP ex EFAT, Y/YDecember1.1% 1.4%
07:00United KingdomHICP, m/mDecember-0.1%0.2%0.3%
07:00United KingdomHICP, Y/YDecember0.3%0.5%0.6%
10:00EurozoneHarmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/YDecember0.2%0.2%0.2%
10:00EurozoneHarmonized CPI, Y/YDecember-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%
10:00EurozoneHarmonized CPIDecember-0.3%0.3%0.3%
13:30CanadaConsumer Price Index m / mDecember0.1%0%-0.2%
13:30CanadaBank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/yDecember1.5% 1.5%
13:30CanadaConsumer price index, y/yDecember1%1%0.7%

GBP rose against most of its major counterparts in the European session on Wednesday, supported by the improvement in investors' risk appetite  as well as the relief the impact of Brexit had not caused the damage some feared. In addition, the Bank of England (BoE) governor Andrew Bailey downplayed the possibility of negative interest rates last week, stating that there were “lots of issues” with cutting rates below zero.

Market participants also received strong inflation data from the UK. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that that the UK's inflation accelerated to 0.6 percent y/y from 0.3 percent y/y in November. The rate was above economists' forecast of 0.5 percent y/y. On m/m basis, consumer prices rose 0.3 percent, following a 0.1 percent drop in November and faster than the expected rate of 0.2 percent.

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