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- SocGen says now sees an 80% probability of a no deal between UK and EU
SocGen says now sees an 80% probability of a no deal between UK and EU
Reuters reports that Societe Generale analysts said they now see an 80% chance that Britain and the EU will fail to strike a trade deal before the end of the year.
British Prime Minister Johnson has unveiled legislation that would break parts of the Brexit divorce treaty relating to Northern Ireland. The EU says any breach of the Brexit treaty could sink trade talks.
SocGen analysts said that whether or not the planned legislation, the Internal Market Bill, is passed in a form that maintains this feature, the level of trust between Britain and the EU had been “gravely damaged”.
“With PM Johnson likely to continue his high-stakes negotiating strategy, we no longer think a deal can be struck before year-end. We now see an 80% probability of a No Deal,” they said in a note.
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