The Conference
Board announced on Thursday its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. rose 2.0
percent m-o-m in June to 102.0 (2016 = 100), following a revised 3.2 percent
m-o-m advance in May (originally a 2.8 percent m-o-m gain).
Economists had
forecast an increase of 2.1 percent m-o-m.
“The June
increase in the LEI reflects improvements brought about by the incremental reopening
of the economy, with labor market conditions and stock prices in particular
contributing positively,” noted Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic
Research at The Conference Board. “However, broader financial conditions and
the consumers’ outlook on business conditions still point to a weak economic
outlook. Together with a resurgence of new COVID-19 cases across much of the
nation, the LEI suggests that the US economy will remain in recession territory
in the near term.”
The report also
revealed the Conference Board Coincident Economic Index (CEI) for the U.S. went
up 2.5 percent m-o-m in June to 96.7, following a 1.6 percent m-o-m increase in
May. Meanwhile, its Lagging Economic Index (LAG) for the U.S. declined 2.5
percent m-o-m in June to 110.8, following a 1.2 percent m-o-m drop in May.
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