FXStreet reports that some weakness will bring opportunities to reset long trades in the AUD/USD pair at 0.65 while the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will likely act if the aussie surges above 0.70, according to economists at ANZ Bank.
“The transmission clusters across Victoria in particular have challenged the growing expectation of a pronounced bounce back in the domestic economy. Instead, if we apply consumer uncertainty to the many industries hit by the pandemic and shutdowns, the growth path for Australia is more mixed.”
“For the RBA, currency appreciation above 0.70, out of line with fundamentals, will likely draw policy considerations that would see the domestic rates curve flatten.”
“For July, we think there is scope for tactical downside for the AUD given the negative news flow and stretched risk appetite. With global central bank support unlikely to waver, we see this as a buy-the-dip opportunity, particularly against the JPY and USD crosses. We think there will be opportunities to re-enter long positions at around USD0.65.”
“With the AUD having led the recovery, there remains scope for catchup appreciation across the Asian FX complex, which would see Asia/AUD modestly supported. Our year-end targets have lifted and anchored near fair-value of 0.70, representing the more balanced environment that the AUD now sits within.”
© 2000-2020. All rights reserved.
This site is managed by Teletrade D.J. Limited 20599 IBC 2012 (First Floor, First St. Vincent Bank Ltd Building, James Street, Kingstown, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
The information on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Making transactions on financial markets with marginal financial instruments opens up wide possibilities and allows investors who are willing to take risks to earn high profits, carrying a potentially high risk of losses at the same time. Therefore you should responsibly approach the issue of choosing the appropriate investment strategy, taking the available resources into account, before starting trading.
Use of the information: full or partial use of materials from this website must always be referenced to TeleTrade as the source of information. Use of the materials on the Internet must be accompanied by a hyperlink to teletrade.org. Automatic import of materials and information from this website is prohibited.
Please contact our PR department if you have any questions or need assistance at firstname.lastname@example.org.