Implied stock buildup of 12 mil bpd in 1H threatens to overwhelm logistics
Forecasts a drop in global oil demand by a record 9.3 mil bpd
Output deal by OPEC+ and other countries will not immediately rebalance the market
Oil production cuts will lower the peak supply
April oil demand set to fall 29 mln bpd YoY to level last seen in 1995.
Q2 demand set to fall 23.1 mln bpd YoY and in December to fall 2.7 mln bpd YoY.
Global oil supply set to plunge by record 12 mln bpd in May after OPEC+ producer cut pact.
Non-OPEC output could fall by 5.2 mln bpd in Q4 and by 2.3 mln bpd for 2020.
Predicts output falls by other producers, chiefly US and Canada, of around 3.5 mln bpd in coming months on lower prices.
Forecasts 2020 global refining throughput to fall by 7.6 mln bpd to 74.3 mln bpd.
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