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- S&P 500: Buying opportunity for prudent investors – JP Morgan
S&P 500: Buying opportunity for prudent investors – JP Morgan
FXStreet reports that David Lebovitz from JP Morgan Asset Management brief that not every earnings recession was accompanied by an economic recession, but every economic recession was accompanied by an earnings recession as it can be been in S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) numbers.
“The average decline in S&P 500 EPS during economic recession was -17.2%. Our own models currently point to a drawdown in earnings of -15.2%, well below current consensus estimates and generally in line with the historical experience.”
“As the clouds begin to break, the market will start to price in a ‘virus-free’ run-rate for earnings. At that point, equities should resume their upward ascent.”
“We are focused on quality companies in the short/medium term. This leads us to sectors like consumer staples, technology and health care.”
“Because this event is transitory, the prudent investor will view it as a buying opportunity, while understanding that volatility is unlikely to subside anytime soon.”
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