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- China: Clouds are lifting – Danske Bank
China: Clouds are lifting – Danske Bank
Analysts at Danske Bank note that China's growth took a hit from the trade war in 2019 but rays of light have emerged, that suggest the worst may be behind us.
- "We expect a moderate increase in the manufacturing sector driven by stimulus and easing trade tensions.
- The US-China trade war has calmed down again following the phase-one deal and we see a 50% chance that the US and China will strike a bigger deal in 2020 and more tariffs will be rolled back.
- China has been the epicenter of the global slowdown and we expect the lift to activity to have a positive spillover to the rest of the world.
- We expect only limited further policy stimulus from here and a slight appreciation of the CNY as activity bottoms and trade fears ease."
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