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- Minneapolis Fed president Kashkari: Not forecasting recession, but risks to downside have increased over the last six months
Minneapolis Fed president Kashkari: Not forecasting recession, but risks to downside have increased over the last six months
- U.S. economy is sending mixed signals
- Consumers are strong, but businesses appear to be nervous, pulling back on spending and hiring
- Europe, Germany, China are slowing, and U.S. will feel that
- Yield curve is signalling the Fed policy may be slightly contractionary
- Monetary policy should be somewhat accommodative in light of the risks we are seeing
- I expect the inflation to undershoot 2%-target for the foreseeable future
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