Market news
09.10.2019, 10:36

T-Bill tweak not enough to dampen USD - ING

Chris Turner, the head of FX strategy at ING, notes that  Fed Chair Jerome Powell said yesterday the Fed would be addressing last month’s tightness in U.S. money markets with a permanent addition of dollar liquidity – replacing several temporary open market operations currently underway. 

  • "It seems this will involve the Fed buying T-Bills, perhaps worth in the region of US$200 billion. Powell was at pains to stress this was not quantitative easing. 
  • A permanent addition of liquidity could have been taken poorly by the dollar and taken well by high yield FX, but it wasn’t. This because: (i) the programme will be a lot smaller than QE (which at its peak was worth US$85 billion per month), (ii) involves short term securities that can roll off the Fed’s balance sheet quickly and (iii) the market is witnessing very little progress in either US-China trade or Brexit negotiations. 
  • Indeed, US-China relations seem to have deteriorated further, with the US now citing Chinese human rights abuses, in addition to the national security threat, as a reason to blacklist Chinese companies. For today, expect more tough rhetoric between the US and China ahead of tomorrow’s trade meeting. 
  • Tonight also sees the release of September FOMC minutes. The Dot Plot already tells us there was much dissention over the 25 basis point cut, but poor US data since that meeting suggests it will take a lot to shake the market from its conviction (now 83% priced) that the Fed cuts again on 30 October. 
  • Expect the dollar to stay bid against activity FX and we wouldn’t be surprised to see USD/CNH trading above 7.20."

© 2000-2024. All rights reserved.

This site is managed by Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).

The information on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice.

The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.

AML Website Summary

Risk Disclosure

Making transactions on financial markets with marginal financial instruments opens up wide possibilities and allows investors who are willing to take risks to earn high profits, carrying a potentially high risk of losses at the same time. Therefore you should responsibly approach the issue of choosing the appropriate investment strategy, taking the available resources into account, before starting trading.

Privacy Policy

Use of the information: full or partial use of materials from this website must always be referenced to TeleTrade as the source of information. Use of the materials on the Internet must be accompanied by a hyperlink to teletrade.org. Automatic import of materials and information from this website is prohibited.

Please contact our PR department if you have any questions or need assistance at pr@teletrade.global.

Bank
transfers
Feedback
Live Chat E-mail
Up
Choose your language / location