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- USD: Fed to cut again this week with minor changes in statement & no change in forward guidance - Barclays
USD: Fed to cut again this week with minor changes in statement & no change in forward guidance - Barclays
Barclays Research discusses its expectations for this week's FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday.
"We expect the FOMC to deliver a 25bp cut to its policy rate in September, reducing the target range for the policy rate to 1.75-2.00%. We look for only minor changes relative to the July statement, with the committee reiterating that the baseline outlook still calls for sustained expansion and inflation near the symmetric 2% objective, but noting its decision to make another adjustment to its policy rate “in light of … global developments … and muted inflation pressures. We also expect similar forward guidance, retaining the committee’s pledge to “act as appropriate” as it contemplates future changes to the path of the funds rate. With measures of activity and inflation having played out broadly in line with expectations since June, and with fundamentals only slightly less supportive, on balance, we look for only minor changes to the median projections for inflation, unemployment and GDP in 2019 and 2020," Barclays projects.
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