Market news
04.09.2019, 14:26

Dallas Fed President Kaplan: U.S. economic picture is mixed

  • Regions CEOs say trade challenging supply chains
  • Not surprising that factories are weak when trade is weak
  • U.S. economic picture is mixed, manufacturing uncertain, consumer strong
  • U.S. consumer is strong, so it's a mixed picture
  • Business across industries can't predict how tariffs will be resolved, being more careful is rational, appropriate response
  • If you wait for consumer weakness, it might be too late
  • I'm watching for psychological effects on consumers
  • Risks to forecast are to the downside
  • Recent slowing due more to trade uncertainty and global weakness that monetary policy
  • Watching credit conditions, which are currently robust, and treasury curve
  • It's relevant that the Fed funds is above whole yield curve
  • Whole yield curve moving down has eased financial conditions
  • Fed staying where it is, below the treasury yield curve, will create distortions, challenges
  • Downward move in the curve has been stimulated

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