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- UK's labour market data look like a mixed bag – TD Securities
UK's labour market data look like a mixed bag – TD Securities
Analysts at TD Securities note that this morning's UK labour market data was a bit of a mixed bag, but on net they think that it was a positive outcome.
- “The soft spot was the unemployment rate coming in a tenth higher than expected at 3.9%. But the trend in employment growth is quite strong (+115K 3m/3m rate vs mkt 60k), so that points to a more robust labour market picture. Ex-bonus wage growth was in line with our forecast and a bit stronger than expected at 3.9% y/y (mkt 3.8%), notably hitting its highest growth rate since before the financial crisis.
- And real wage growth (1.8% y/y) has finally returned to where it was before the EU Referendum in June 2016 and the associated inflation shock from the fall in GBP.”
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