Market news
18.04.2019, 14:40

Bank of Canada (BoC) to leave the policy rate unchanged and to cut growth forecasts next week - Rabobank

Analysts at Rabobank expect the Canadian central bank will leave the policy rate unchanged at 1.75% on Wednesday, April 24.

  • CAD OIS implies almost no chance of either a hike or a cut at this meeting and only around a 20% chance of a 25bp cut by the end of the year.
  • Although a more cautious tone was adopted at the last meeting, the door was left open for rate hikes. Rather than being dovish, we argue that the Bank has adopted a holding stance.
  • We maintain the view that the BoC will not be able to raise rates again this cycle and instead we see the Bank cutting rates in 2020 Q2.
  • This meeting will be accompanied by a new Monetary Policy Report (MPR) which we expect to reveal downward revisions to growth forecasts.

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