Market news
14.02.2019, 09:42

BOE MPC member Vlieghe: there is considerable uncertainty around my forecast for policy rate path

  • if Brexit deal is done, around one quarter-point rate hike a year is reasonable central case

  • in no-deal Brexit scenario, an easing or extended pause in monetary policy more likely to be appropriate than tightening

  • degree of future monetary tightening will in part depend on how large sterling’s appreciation after a Brexit deal is

  • signs of economic slowdown in early 2019 means a lot needs to go right for this forecast to come to pass

  • I can probably wait for evidence of growth stabilising, inflation pressure rising before considering rate hike

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