Market Overview

2 September 2019 08:41

Maria Gregoriou

The impact of the Istanbul mayor elections at the end of March, when President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s party lost to the CHP party, are now beginning to show as Erdogan and his party refuse to accept defeat. This lack of acceptance, according to Bloomberg, has put a dent in consumer and business confidence. The results of this political uncertainty have been seen in the growth of the Turkish economy, which has been seen to be at a slower pace in the second quarter. “Gross domestic product (GDP) expanded a seasonally adjusted 1.
30 August 2019 09:02

Maria Gregoriou

The Konjunkturforschungsstelle Swiss Institute for Business Cycle Research released the KOF Leading Indicator for August this morning. The indicator -or barometer as it is often referred to - which captures the movement of GDP growth and the economic trend in Switzerland, showed the same reading as July. The indicator showed a level of 97.0 for July and August but, according to the official report, it is believed that during the next few months the Swiss economy can be expected to perform moderately.
29 August 2019 16:12

Maria Gregoriou

After the Queen approved the Prime Minister’s plan to suspend parliament yesterday, legal battles over this plan have begun to stack up, “with the first case filed by Brexit opponents to be heard in an Edinburgh courtroom,” Bloomberg said. More than one million people signed a UK petition against this suspension and protestors took to the streets all over the UK last night, chanting “stop the coup” and carrying anti-Brexit placards.
27 August 2019 07:03

Maria Gregoriou

As investors keep a keen eye out on trade war developments between the U.S and China, stocks, oil prices, and currency are just three markets that are being affected. Asia stocks traded higher today, with “Shanghai composite adding 1.68 percent and the Shenzhen component gaining 2.25 percent. The Shenzhen composite advanced 2.118 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell marginally,” according to CNBC. While stocks were on the rise today, the picture for oil was very different yesterday, as oil prices edged downward.
26 August 2019 08:00

Maria Gregoriou

The trade war between the U.S and China heated up over the weekend, with China announcing it would apply new tariffs on imported goods from the U.S and President Donald Trump responding by raising rates on nearly all Chinese imports. Before the U.S stock markets opened on Friday “China’s Ministry of Finance announced on its website that it will apply new tariffs of between five percent and ten percent on $75 billion worth of goods from the United States,” according to CNBC. There were more announcements with the ministry going further to say that a 25 percent tariff on U.
23 August 2019 07:16

Maria Gregoriou

Yesterday the Sterling jumped more than half a cent, to nearly a one-month high, according to Reuters. This jump came after French President Emmanuel Macron said that the Brexit deal can be amended during a visit with U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson. The amendment to the deal has to do with the backstop. This is the first time an EU leader has suggested that the withdrawal agreement can be reopened.
22 August 2019 08:20

Maria Gregoriou

The Federal Reserve (Fed) released the minutes of the meeting it had three weeks ago yesterday, during which it was decided that interest rates would be cut. The main three reasons for the cut, as stated in the minutes, were the slowdown in growth – particularly in business, investment and manufacturing, which is likely linked to the ongoing trade war – risk management and that uncertainly remains elevated, and the three reasons were sited as inflation, which is still running below the Fed’s two percent goal.
21 August 2019 08:23

Maria Gregoriou

After economists at Barclays PLC looked over their outlook for central bank rates and growth across major economies, their latest forecast is that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may go ahead with three further quarter-point cuts this year. According to Bloomberg, this revision was made due to the heightened forecast that will be a “non-negotiated exit by Britain from the European Union, resulting in a mild recession in that country next year and two interest-rate cuts by the Bank of England, one this year and one in 2020.” The economists also revised their euro-zone growth and reduced it to 0.
20 August 2019 08:05

Maria Gregoriou

U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced to the European Union that he is keen to look into different ways to “prevent a hard border on the island of Ireland”, according to Bloomberg. In this first public attempt to renegotiation a Brexit deal, Johnson sent a letter to the European Council President Donald Tusk, stating that he wants to replace the backstop provision - which is one issue that Johnson said he will not consider in the negotiations in his pre-election debate – with a “legally binding commitment.
19 August 2019 07:12

Maria Gregoriou

On Saturday, a drone attack on Saudi Arabia by Yemen’s Houthi rebels caused a fire to erupt in a Saudi oil and gas field. This morning we are seeing the results of this attack on crude oil prices, which have seen a rise. According to Euronews “brent crude <LCOc1> was up 45 cents, or 0.8 percent, at $59.09 a barrel at 0035 GMT, and U.S crude <CLc1> was up 39 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $55.26 a barrel.
Market Focus
  • Fed's Powell signals resumption of balance sheet growth
  • European Commission spokesman: EU position has not changed, we want a deal with UK
  • Canada’s building permits unexpectedly surge in August
  • Producer prices in the U.S. unexpectedly decreased in September

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